TimingStockMarket.com

Updates for March 5 2025

3/5/2025

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VIX is forming a top around 26. This means volatility is subsiding for now. Look for VIX to drop and retest the zone around 16.9 may be next week.
NQ is groping for bottom and may retest the support zone around 20075 before launching into a bear market bounce that can take it back up to 21400 resistance zone.
After that we are looking at NQ resuming its bear market drop from 21400 resistance zone to possibly as low as 19000.

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Updates for Week of March 3 2025

3/1/2025

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Upcoming Key Events
Note the week of March 18 is going to be intense.

NQ very like heading into a bear market
In my last post from January 20, I wrote: "The bull trend started in late 2022 for NQ. Chart data tells us that we've been through the following bull cycles.
12/27/22: NQ Weekly Chart Bull Trend started.
12/27/22 -7/19/23: 1st Bull Cycle within Bull Trend.
10/27/23 - 3/4/24: 2nd Bull Cycle within Bull Trend.
4/22/24 - 7/1/24: 3rd Bull Cycle within bull Trend.
8/5/24 - 12/18/24: 4th Bull Cycle within Bull Trend.

Stock cycles typically peak between 4th and 5th bull cycle in the bull trend. NQ is now in that transition period." NQ transition period is still happening and is now leaning more bearish.

VIX and VVIX are confirming bearish transition
Keep an eye on VIX 200-day EMA green line. It is starting to go up just a tad. If it starts to rise steadily, the bear market is officially on.

Recall I also wrote about VVIX CTC pattern (Coiling Towards Catastrophe). This is where VVIX 20-day EMA blue line coils tightly around a slightly rising 200-day EMA green line, setting up for a big VIX surge. Note how VVIX EMAs are currently forming this pattern in its daily chart below, similar to previous surges.

However, a bear market BOUNCE is coming
VIX daily chart is forming a short term top. This is confirmed by its daily MACD signal, showing VIX is likely to drop a bit this coming week.

NQ short-term S/R levels
NQ 4-hour chart below shows it is starting to form a base for a quick bounce. Its MACD signal is basing to rise, confirming this short-term bullish setup.

NQ strong support zone where it will bounce is 20300 - 20542.
NQ will retest 21000, and may need to chop in this zone some amount before it can rise higher.
NQ is likely to run into strong resistance at 21400. This most likely will happen during the week of March 18.
NQ is likely to resume its bearish drop from 21400 down further below 20300.

Disclaimer
The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.

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Updates for March 5 2025

Updates for Week of March 3 2025

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