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Updates for Monday 10/25/21

10/24/2021

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We trade 3x ETFs such as TQQQ TNA SOXL LABU UVXY using proprietary analysis of volatility.   See actual trades here.

Updates 12:30 AM EST - Monday 10/25/21

Key dates
This is a big week.  Here's the economic calendar for the full week.   There are lots of key reports that can potentially move the market.

Tuesday:  Consumer Confidence; New Home Sales
Wednesday:  Durable Goods Orders
Thursday:   GDP; Jobless Claims
Friday:  Personal Income & Spending; PCE Prices & Deflator; Employment Cost Index; Consumer Sentiments

There are earnings from major tech companies including AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, FB and AMZN.   These will certainly move $NDX.

Additionally, keep in mind the following upcoming key dates:
11/3:   FOMC announcement
11/19:  Options expiration (OPEX)
12/3:   Debt ceiling deadline

Bullish Catalysts 
  • Positive earnings surprises
  • End of month fund shuffling
  • Traditionally, November is a bullish month.
​
Bearish Catalysts
  • Negative earnings surprises (e.g. SNAP and INTC)
  • Rising yields 
  • Fed tapering and raising interest rates soon >> taper tantrum.
  • Fed not tapering and and raising interest rates soon enough, fueling inflation.
  • Inflation is on everyone's mind (from Powell to Dorsey).
  • Congress potentially fails to deliver on infrastructure deal and debt ceiling deal.
...
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