Updates 4 PM ET- Thursday 1/12/23 Scaled into TNA post CPI report Based on the projections we wrote about pre-market below, we scaled into our bullish position TNA after the CPI report this morning. Members were notified of these entries. Updates pre-market Thursday 1/12/23 CPI report is released at 8:30 AM ET Thursday. Key S/R levels
As projected yesterday, ES NQ RTY 15-minute charts all show rising 200 EMA green lines. This shows that the bullishness is continuing. But RSI shows that RTY (as well as ES NQ) are all highly overbought. So to better optimize our entries, we want to wait for price to get down closer to the 200 EMA green line. We also want to wait for RSI to drop down to oversold levels, as shown via all the green arrows below (15-minute chart). We think RSI will swing to oversold and RTY will drop down to closer to its 200 EMA green line when RTY revisits the zone of around S1 (1815 - 1830). The same is true for ES and NQ. New bull market starting? You read that right. The weekly chart for S&P 500 Percent of Stocks Above 200-day MA below is telling us that a bull market may actually be building up under the hood. This is because its 20-week EMA blue line is crossing above its 50-week EMA red line. This crossing is not easily done on a weekly chart after a massive steep drop. So for the pattern to form, market breadth has to have been rising strongly. In the past this pattern has been quite reliable in predicting a new bull market (see the green arrows on chart below). This does not mean that we won't see pullbacks. But what this means is that 3700 may be a very strong support level, as well as a potential bottom for ES and $SPX. This signal could be totally wrong here. After all, macro fundamentals are still very bleak. But it's worth contemplating this possibility, and pay attention to these EMA lines. Our Personal Trade Plan We continue to concentrate on scaling into TNA. We think RTY is likely to retest 1815-1830 range. This means TNA is likely to retest the 33.7 - 34.7 range. In the Signal Trades spreadsheet, we have shown our buy orders to scale into TNA in the above price range. Keep in mind that it's very hard to nail the exact numbers. These ranges are meant to give you an idea of where prices are likely to dip to. But we will override everything and manually enter TNA based on what the charts how immediately post CPI. So look for our alerts. Questions? For new members who may not be familiar with the information we post in this blog, please check the glossary for more information. You can also email us with questions directly. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
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Updates 1:45 AM ET - Wednesday 1/11/23 CPI Unlike previous occasions, Powell's speech on Tuesday resulted in ES NQ RTY rising. Here are some projections for CPI on Thursday from JP Morgan. As you can, they are projecting a higher probability of S&P rising from CPI data as opposed to dropping. Additionally, the Fed is now floating via WSJ the possibility of 0.25% interest rate increase on Feb 1. Read more here. So conditions are primed for ES NQ RTY to continue rising. Key S/R levels All S/R levels have been pushed upward in the table below, as ES NQ RTY are showing more bullish strength. Since January 4, we've been explaining that ES NQ RTY are setting up bullish patterns. After Powell's speech on Tuesday, this bullish pattern is becoming even clearer. Keep an eye on RTY 200 EMA green line on its 15-minute chart. As you can see it is starting to rise up steadily. We are aiming to scale into TNA as RTY retests around the 200 EMA zone. Note that $VIX $VVIX and all market breadth charts are currently showing setups that are bullish for stocks. Our Personal Trade Plan In the Signal Trades spreadsheet, we have shown our buy orders to scale into TNA post CPI. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Questions? For new members who may not be familiar with the information we post in this blog, please check the glossary for more information. You can also email us with questions directly. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
Updates 4 PM ET - Friday 12/23/22 Today's exit from bear position (TZA) Updates 1:33 PM ET - Friday 12/23/22 $VIX and market breadth suggest a rally may be in the making $VIX tried to rise this morning but did not succeed. It may be still building a base for rising, but so far it has very little momentum. We have to allow for the possibility that $VIX is building a base for possibly dropping a lot more. This would mean another bear market rally is in the making. Market breadth charts support this possibility. ES NQ RTY price actions also support this possibility. So we have tightened the stop on our TZA positions. We are not entering TNA or any bullish position yet. The next key reversal point will likely come after the job report on January 6. Have a wonderful holiday. Updates 1:00 AM ET - Friday 12/23/22 Key S/R levels The relief bounce was sharp but short. Below are the new key S/R levels. Right now price actions, volatility and market breadth tell us that conditions are bearish. We need to continue monitoring the key charts for clues. Are the bearish conditions continuing, or are ES NQ RTY setting up for another bear market rally? In RTY 4-hour chart below, we discussed the bearish versus bullish EMA patterns that we are looking for. We are leaning bearish at the moment. Note that Personal Income & Spending report at 8:30 AM may move market direction given the thin holiday trading. Market breadth: bearish; Volatility: bearish Market breadth charts have gone back to being quite bearish. $VIX chart is finally forming the W bottom pattern that we've been waiting for. To ensure that this W pattern continues to develop, we want to see $VIX 20-hour EMA blue line surges above its 200-hour EMA green line. This green line currently is close to 22.8 which is a crucial $VIX level. If the W pattern stays intact and $VIX 20-hour EMA blue line surges up, that's a very bearish setup for stocks. On the other hand, we may see $VIX 20-hour EMA blue line rises just a bit above its 200-hour EMA green line, then drops back below it. That's actually a highly bullish setup for stocks to reverse into a bear market rally. Our Personal Trade Plan
Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
Updates 4 PM ET - Tuesday 12/13/22 Today's bearish entry into TZA Updates 3:06 PM ET - Tuesday 12/13/22 It was a bull trap as anticipated $VIX chart was very difficult to track today as it swung all over the place pre-market. But SVXY chart gave us a pretty good clue where volatility is heading. SVXY 30-min chart below shows SVXY forming double top pattern above its 200 EMA green line. This pattern is usually followed by multiple weeks of rising $VIX. So we entered TZA this morning, after a quick small test of TQQQ. TZA took off nicely as ES NQ RTY all dropped sharply. But don't expect them to keep dropping just yet. The odds are high that there will be some thrashing price actions while ES NQ RTY form a top. We are holding on to our TZA position and have not tightened stop just yet. We plan to add another TZA position after FOMC tomorrow if this bearish pattern plays out. Updates 8:57 AM ET - Tuesday 12/13/22 Maybe bull trap Consumer prices rose less than expected. ES NQ RTY have shot up, but $VIX and UVXY charts are sending out warnings that this may be a bull trap. Our buy target right now is actually SQQQ. Monitoring to scale into when it forms a bit more of a base. Updates 12 AM ET - Tuesday 12/13/22 Key S/R levels The S/R levels have been revised in the table below. Post CPI scenarios to consider 1. Very cool CPI: Highly bullish. ES NQ RTY will surge sharply right away, while $VIX will drop. ES NQ RTY may end up above R2, with ES possibly up near 4300 eventually. In this scenario, we'd enter TQQQ immediately. 2. Very hot CPI: Highly bearish. ES NQ RTY will drop sharply right away, while $VIX will surge. ES NQ RTY may end up as low as S3 eventually. In this scenario, we'd enter TZA immediately. 3. Barely budging CPI: Very tough scenario to discern in advance. We think that the following $VIX path may take place in this scenario. (See chart below.)
Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
Updates 1:53 PM ET - Tuesday 11/15/22 Stopped out of TNA runner position Per explanation at 10:01 AM below, we tightened the stop on our TNA runner position and got stopped out. We locked in close to 12% profit in 4 trading days (since last Thursday). We are in cash 100% right now and waiting for $VIX and market breadth to reveal the next major move. This next major move is unlikely to happen until this OpEx Friday or Monday. Updates 10:01 AM ET - Tuesday 11/15/22 $VIX EMAs are starting to go sideway This morning's Producer Price Index report (PPI) was cooler than expected. This confirms the direction of the CPI report from November 10. ES NQ RTY all spiked up sharply, but not as enthusiastically as they did post CPI. $VIX hourly chart shows the start of a sideway pattern, the bearish one that we discussed further below. $VIX 20-hour and 50-hour EMA lines are starting to go sideway. This is cause for concern, so we tightened the stop on our TNA runner position. We sent out alert for this right after open. Our position has been stopped out for now. We are going to continue monitoring for further development in $VIX patterns, but no jumping in right now. Updates 12 AM ET - Tuesday 11/15/22 Market breadth Market breadth is still on the high side, but their chart patterns suggest that a pullback is possible this week for ES NQ RTY. $VIX In $VIX hourly chart below we have explained the 2 sets of patterns we are looking for that provide either a bullish setup, or a bearish setup (for stocks) to trade with. You've seen these explanations before. Here they are again because they are very important. We have observed that these patterns do have a tendency to show up during the week of OpEx.
Right now, we don't have either pattern forming just yet. So we plan to just wait and let $VIX chart reveals where market is going next. Key S/R Levels The S/R levels are still the same as Monday. ES NQ RTY are in consolidation mode, hovering at the bottom of their R1-R2 resistance zone. Again, whether they will successfully rise up to R2 or not will depend on how $VIX pattern evolves as explained above. Trade Plan It is still our goal to re-enter TNA swing position, but we will wait for the bullish quick $VIX spike described above as the low-risk setup to trade with. Note that if we start observing the bearish sideway pattern described above, we will manually exit TNA runner. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
Updates 1:53 PM ET - Thursday 11/10/22 Entered TNA post CPI Last night we showed you specifically what to look for on $VIX chart immediately post CPI to know if it's a real bullish move or a head fake in ES NQ RTY prices. Specifically, we were looking for $VIX 20 EMA blue line to drop below its 200 EMA green line (30-minute chart). That's exactly what we got immediately post CPI. So we were confident in scaling into our bull targets (TNA runner and TNA swing positions), and we alerted you to do so. We tightened the stop on our TNA swing position to lock in partial profit. ES NQ RTY are overbought right now and the probability of a pullback is high. So we want to ensure that we get some profit out of this trade attempt. The runner position is still intact and may achieve the target profit of close to 26%. We do plan on re-entering TNA swing or possibly TQQQ swing, depending on the setup tomorrow. We will discuss the setups that we are looking for in tonight's post. Updates 12:45 AM ET - Thursday 11/10/22 Market breadth Market breadth charts are not helpful right now as they are forming short-term tops. These short-term tops are not super reliable as signal for a bearish pivot in stocks. They are simply indicating a pullback is coming, not necessarily a change in trend. Furthermore, we will not be able to get intraday breadth data immediately post CPI because it's released pre-market at 8:30 AM ET. Watch out for traps Keep in mind that post CPI, price actions on ES NQ RTY charts can easily become head fakes. Recall the big price drop and big reversal immediately post CPI on Oct 13. That was such a big bear trap that we would have fallen into if we simply had focused on price actions alone. Focus on volatility Instead we had good results on Oct 13 because we focused closely on volatility charts. $VVIX: While it may be concerning to look at $VVIX sharp spikes from Tuesday and Wednesday, it is actually not as scary as it looks. The time to worry is when $VVIX candles contract, and most importantly when its 20-day EMA blue line gets very close to and is about to cross over its 50-day EMA red line. (See red arrows below). When $VVIX candles rise sharply for a few days in a row, they typically peter out to form a top, especially and they tag or cross above the 200-day EMA green line. (See green arrows below.) This is why we say $VVIX chart is actually not super scary or bearish looking right now. It is simply saying $VIX volatility has risen. This is to be expected, as traders buy protective puts ahead of CPI. $VIX While we are leaning a bit bullish with $VVIX chart, we are waiting for $VIX chart actions post CPI to decide which way to go. Take a careful look at $VIX chart annotations below. (This is $VIX 30-minute chart.) Understanding what's behind the $VIX patterns Ahead of CPI report, traders have loaded up on protective puts. This is among the reasons for the spike in $VIX and $VVIX. If traders choose to cash out these puts right after the report, $VIX will quickly drop. And as these puts are closed, dealers will need to cover their own short positions (usually in equity futures) to keep their books non-directional. The result is likely to be a short squeeze which is bullish for stocks. On the other hand, if traders panic, they will add more puts which will raise volatility very quickly, as reflected in $VIX. At the same time, dealers who just sold puts will have to short equity futures to balance their holdings. The result is likely to be a long squeeze which is bearish for stocks. Key S/R levels The S/R table below is the same as yesterday. We think that S2 is going to be retested post CPI. If $VIX drops, S2 may hold. If $VIX rises, S2 will fail. Trade Plan We had a buy order for TNA at 32.7 on Wednesday in our shared spreadsheet. TNA tagged 32.7 by end of Wednesday and we could have placed the buy order as price approached that level. But it was simply too late in the day to enter any position. Our strategy is to wait. Rather than placing our bets based on price levels alone, we are going to wait for signals from $VIX to confirm as described above. So the actual entry price may be different than the price in the spreadsheet, but that is the level we are targeting. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
Updates 2:11 PM ET - Monday 10/31/22 Summary
Market breadth is still positive, but NYSE Nasdaq A/D lines are forming short-term tops on their hourly charts. $VIX gapped up and rose to 27 in the early morning hours today. It has since dropped but we expect to see $VIX stays above 25.7, and starts rising back up again towards 28-29. Conditions are consistent with a setup for a retracement before ES NQ RTY can resume their rally as we explained last night. There is a high probability that ES NQ RTY will retest S1. Updates 12:30 AM ET - Monday 10/31/22 Upcoming key events The biggest event this week is FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday. Job report on Friday will also be very exciting. Read here for more information on economic news this coming week. Earnings releases this week Chart courtesy of Earnings Whispers. What to expect from FOMC this week The Fed is likely to raise its benchmark rate by another 0.75% as it attempts to cool the economy and bring down high inflation. The Fed's job is extra complicated due to rising wage and cash-rich consumers. Read more here. Market breadth is still supportive of stocks The bear market rally that started on Oct 13 has been going strong. There have been lots of explanations offered for this rally. We don't really know for sure all the reasons behind the rally. But we have confidence that since our system was able to identify the seed of the rally on Oct 3, it can identify the end of the rally. For now, market breadth is still very supportive of stocks as shown in the charts below. $VIX is dropping and has room to drop more $VIX 20 EMA blue line in its 2-hour chart below has been dropping straight down since Oct 13. This has been very bullish for ES NQ RTY. We did mention on Friday that $VIX is at its pivot zone which is 25-26, right at its 200-day EMA line. There is a high probability that $VIX will rise a bit from here to tag its 200 EMA green line, which is around 28 - 29. Then it is likely to drop down from there, possibly to 20 eventually. Key S/R levels With $VIX having a lot of room to drop, ES NQ RTY can potentially rise up to R2 or higher before this rally ends. However, while $VIX spikes up to 28-29, we may see ES NQ RTY retest support at S1. Trade Plan Last week, we locked in 20% profit with TNA runner, and 6% profit with TNA swing. Both positions did what they were supposed to do. Now we are aiming to scale back into TNA runner and swing during the pullback. We don't know if the pullback will happen before or after FOMC, but we'll be monitoring for the target entry level. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades.
Updates 3:20 PM ET - Wednesday 10/26/22 Bear market rally is still intact
Price actions this morning set up a bull trap, and we are likely to see sharp selling. We are still projecting ES NQ RTY to drop and tag S1 as $VIX rises and tags 30. This type of swing is to be expected in this market. But again, volatility and breadth support the bear market rally continuing. We continue to hold TNA runner position as is, and wait for RTY to retest S1 to scale back into TNA swing position. Updates 11:40 PM ET - Tuesday Summary
Against this bullish backdrop, Microsoft and Alphabet earnings resulted in sharp drops after hours. S/R levels So expect some pullback on Wednesday, or at least choppy market conditions. Below are updated S/R levels. We may see ES NQ RTY1 tag S1 before resuming the bullish rise. Is the rally over? Not according to volatility and market breadth.
Trade plan The TNA runner position is still intact and we will continue to leave the stops at breakeven for now. We will be monitoring for pullback overnight and at open to re-enter TNA swing position. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades
Updates 2:12 PM ET - Monday 10/24/22 Bullish but $VIX needs to stay below 31 Conditions are still bullish in the short term, but $VIX needs to stay below 31 an start to head down below 29 soon. If $VIX starts to base between 29 and 30 and inches up from there, then it may make a serious attempt to climb up to 33 - 34. This climb would trigger bigger drops in ES NQ RTY, where we may see ES tests 3600 again. In that bearish scenario, TNA would drop back down to 28 or lower. Therefore, we will aggressively tighten stop on our TNA runner position if $VIX starts to base in the 29 - 30 zone. There is no low-risk bullish setup right now to re-enter TNA swing position, so we're holding that capital in cash for now. Updates 12:30 AM ET - Monday 10/24/22 Upcoming key events Thursday GDP and Friday PCE reports will add fresh data to the state of inflation and economic growth, ahead of FOMC rate announcement next Wednesday 11/2. Earnings releases this week Chart courtesy of Earnings Whispers. This is a big week for tech earnings: Microsoft and Alphabet on Tuesday, Meta on Wednesday, Amazon and Intel on Thursday. Why did stocks rise on Friday? Global macro economic conditions are still very bleak, yet ES NQ RTY sharply rose last week. Why? One theory says the bullish rise was due to dovish comments by a couple Fed officials, and a WSJ article that many traders are guessing to be trial balloon by the Fed: One possible solution would be for Fed officials to approve a half-point increase in December, while using their new economic projections to show they might lift rates somewhat higher in 2023 than they projected last month. Another theory is that it's just the result of large number of puts expiring on OpEx Friday. As the previously sold puts expire, dealers who hedged these sold puts by shorting stock futures had to cover their shorts as price started to rise. All of this happened at a very large scale, and resulted in a massive short squeeze. We suspect that both of these events functioned as catalysts. They were the match that lit the pile of dried wood on Friday. But this bullish pile of dried wood has been building for some time if you recall. The evidence has been showing up in the rising market breadth (since 9/30) and declining volatility (since 10/12). So by tracking breadth and volatility in addition to price actions, we were able to anticipate the growing bullish setup that took off on Friday. And now we need to examine them again. Market breadth is still very supportive of stocks
Volatility is still declining $VIX 200-hour EMA green line in the hourly chart below has been going sideway all of last week. Meanwhile, $VIX 20-hour blue line and 50-hour red line have been steadily marching down. They are now both below the green line. As long as this condition remains true, $VIX is very supportive of stocks. Keep in mind though that $VIX may pop back up quickly to retest the zone 31- 32 one more time before it continues the march downward. $VIX may get down to 25 before this rally is over. RTY has formed W bottom similar to mid June Key S/R levels On Monday, we may see ES NQ RTY dip back into the zone between S1 and S2 while $VIX pops up possibly to retest 31-32. Trade plan Right after open on Friday, we sent out a series of alert as soon as we noticed that $VIX was continuing to drop and ES NQ RTY were turning bullish at opening. We manually scaled into TNA runner and swing positions. When ES NQ RTY opened on Sunday (6 PM ET), they all rose straight up. ES tagged 3813 before dropping rather sharply. We suspect that ES NQ RTY are going to tag these price levels again near open on Monday (9:30 AM ET).
Then we may see an intraday pullback before the climb resumes. We plan to tighten the stop on TNA swing position to lock in some partial profit. But we'll leave the stop at breakeven for TNA runner and give that position a chance to grow. Note that we plan to re-enter TNA swing position during the pullback. Buy orders for this will be posted as we get more data. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades
Updates 12:47 PM ET - Friday 10/21/22 Volatility and Breadth are supportive of stocks
RTY has formed W bottom ES NQ RTY all rose this morning from the opening lows. RTY hourly chart continues to show a complex rising W bottom similar to the one formed between May and June. We sent out a series of alert as soon as we noticed that $VIX was continuing to drop and ES NQ RTY were turning bullish at opening. They didn't dip into the support zones that we cited last night. That is the nature of trading. It's very difficult to predict the pivot points. But we have been prepping you to visualize a bullish W bottom being formed. We showed you what to look for with $VIX and market breadth to confirm the thesis. And we said OpEx Friday is likely to be the major pivot day. So it should come as no surprise that ES NQ RTY headed up today. Here are the entries that we scaled into. Keep in mind that there will be wild intraday swings as $VIX is still yearning to rise up and tag 30 one more time. Also as long as ES is still below 3800, the way market makers have to hedge their books result in wild price swings as they need to sell into weakness and buy into strength. Once ES rises above 3800 (R1), price should calm down and start to grind up more steadily. Updates 12:15 AM ET - Friday 10/21/22 Summary Big picture signal is bearish based on macro conditions. But short-term signal is still bullish. ES NQ RTY are building W bottom to rise post OpEx. Market breadth continues to improve, but... The daily charts of NYSE and Nasdaq A/D net issues are still forming rising bottoms. However, the weekly charts of NYSE and Nasdaq percentage of stocks above 200-day MA suggest they are capable of dipping a bit more before rising more substantially. Nasdaq weekly chart below shows a topping pattern so far for this week, while the percentage hovers at 13%. It could dip back to below 10% before rising again. Volatility of $VIX shows a quick rise in volatility likely $VVIX formed a hammer on its daily chart below on Thursday. It is the type of pattern typically seen before $VVIX rises a bit, possibly back up to 95 before dropping again. $VIX may not retest that high Despite these cautions, we don't think will rise back up to 34 at this point. On $VIX 30-minute chart below all of its EMA lines have been trending down. $VIX is likely to tag 32 again before dropping more substantially. Key S/R levels
Trade plan Our buy orders placed yesterday are still the same. Subscribe to get our latest analysis, daily trade plans and live intraday trades. Current trade record here. Disclaimer The information presented here is our own personal opinion. Consider it as food for thought. We are not offering financial advice. We are not promoting any financial products. We are not registered financial advisers or licensed brokers. We make no guarantee that anything will unfold according to our projections. You are proceeding at your own risk if you follow our trades |
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